Research
CME FedWatch
Purpose
Explore market-implied policy-rate probabilities and their methodology. Not a prediction guarantee. [19]
Who this may help
Researchers studying market-implied rate expectations
Suggested workflow — not product-tested
Select a meeting horizon, read the methodology, then compare the implied distribution with the official FOMC calendar rather than treating one probability as a forecast guarantee.
Limits and unknowns
CME describes probabilities implied by 30-Day Fed Funds futures. These are model-dependent market expectations, not a central-bank commitment; no probability feed was tested.
Sources and review
Original destination check:
Source retrieval attempted:
Official content extracted this round; not a product test.
[19] CME FedWatch
Pending editorial and publication review. Not approved for search indexing.